Book now
ask question

8 Days + 2 nighs in Moshi $1,830

6 Days + 2 nights in Moshi $1,530

7 Days + 2 nights in Moshi $1,680

6 Days + 2 nights in Moshi $1,610

8 Days on Kilimanjaro trek + 5 day Safari

6 Days on Kilimanjaro trek + 4 Day safari

7 Days on Kilimanjaro trek + 3 Day safari

Best time to climb Kilimanjaro
trip costs
best route
kili guides
travel Visa
Kilimanjaro climbing prices

Kilimanjaro Success Rates

The Kilimanjaro success rates and chances of reaching Kilimanjaro summit depends on the number of days taken for Kilimanjaro treks. The more days you have on Kilimanjaro the higher changes you have for the success as your body has more time to get use to mountain and acclimatize.

Below are the success rate figures as published by the Kilimanjaro National Park. These numbers are admittedly quite old and success rates are most likely higher because recently route configurations have been improved and the number of people taking 5 day treks has decreased.

Kilimanjaro Success Rates

All climbers based on all routes 45%. Kilimanjaro success rates.
All climbers trekking 5 day routes 27% 
Kilimanjaro success rates.
All climbers trekking 6 day routes 44%
All climbers trekking 7 days routes 64%
All climbers trekking 8 day routes 85%

Tanzania Magic Tours overall success rates are over 88% for all the trekkers we take up Mount Kilimanjaro, lemosho route has higher possibility of getting to the summit followed by Machame route, Rongai route and Marangu Route.


There are many figure conflicts banded around on the number of people who die on Mount Kilimanjaro annually. Kilimanjaro success rates.

According to research from a number of reliable sources, it is estimated that between 3-7 deaths occur yearly. Deaths on the mount Kilimanjaro occur due to different reasons including AMS (such as HACE and HAPE), falls, and hypothermia.

Some deaths are reported on the Kilimanjaro about porters who die due to the onset of malaria whilst on the Kilimanjaro.

Weather on Kilimanjaro

The weather on Kilimanjaro is mostly influenced by the winds with the structure of the mountain.

The South-east winds travelling over the Indian Ocean carry loads of moisture. When they hit Kilimanjaro, around March, then are forced upwards where they condense, form clouds and precipitation. This resulting March through May to be the wettest season on mount Kilimanjaro.

Anti-trade winds from the North-east carry very little moisture but blow strongly. The strength of these winds which last from April through October keep the South-east winds below them, hence these months are usually dry and clouds cover and precipitation is generally restricted to the lower slopes of the mountain.

The North-east monsoon arrives in November and brings some light rains to the northern slopes of Kilimanjaro.

March, April and November are the wettest months on Kilimanjaro. January-March and June-October are the best months for trekking. Snow fall and cold temperatures are common during December-May.

Climate Change

There is scientific suggestions that glaciers on Kilimanjaro have been rapidly going off for the past years, and that human-induced climate is largely to be blamed.

At one stage the whole mountain summit was covered by an ice cap, probably more than 100 meters deep. However, since 1912 Kilimanjaro has lost 82% of its ice cap and since 1962 it has lost 55% of its remaining glaciers.

If the present rate of recession continues the majority of the glaciers on Kilimanjaro could vanish altogether.

This page on climate change and Kilimanjaro gives a good highlights.

Kilimanjaro success rates.